{"id":10321,"date":"2018-10-02T18:15:53","date_gmt":"2018-10-02T12:45:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/?p=10321"},"modified":"2018-10-04T19:48:11","modified_gmt":"2018-10-04T14:18:11","slug":"many-faces-of-warfare-need-for-caution-in-losing-out-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/?p=10321","title":{"rendered":"Many Faces of Warfare : Need For Caution Lest India Loses Out Again"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Many Faces of Warfare<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 ( taken from an e mail , author\u00a0Brig. G.B.Reddy\u00a0)<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Extraordinarily complex forms of warfare are responsible for the ongoing \u201cMayhem\u201d of mankind. India like other nations must be prepared to face the deluge of all forms of warfare to survive as a nation.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Cumulatively the transformations in the nature and character of warfare are mindboggling to a common man.\u00a0 Gone are the days of classical view of wars like conventional wars, situations short of wars, proxy wars by non-state actors actively abetted by States in collusion with local insurgents\/militants and nuclear wars. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 The new terms of warfare coined are \u201cHybrid\u201d or \u201cpolitical\u201d warfare. India is experiencing the full blast of \u201cHybrid or Political warfare\u201d waged by state and nonstate actors who are employing a wide range of political, informational, military, and economic measures to influence, coerce, intimidate, or undermine India\u2019s national interests. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Experts have identified and defined the characteristics of modern \u201cPolitical Warfare\u201d to include: Nonstate actors threats; use of elements of national power; dominance of information arena; perceptions of success can be determinative; antidote to disinformation; heavy investment of intelligence resources; generate unintended consequences; use of economic leverage; exploit shared ethnic or religious bonds or other internal seams; warfare extends, rather than replaces, traditional conflict and can achieve effects at lower cost.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 During the technology age, three frightening developments are taking place in warfare \u2013 1) space war\/security, 2) cyber war\/security and \u00a03) Artificial Intelligence (AI) arms race. They are dramatically altering the way adversarial nations can inflict collateral damage far beyond the original intended target with utter disregard to borders to achieve \u2018end political objectives\u2019 at least costs.<\/b><\/p>\n

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\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Already, the U.S., Russia and China are locked in fierce rivalry in the new forms of warfare, particularly space, cyber, AI and even trade wars. Due to breathtaking technology breakthroughs, \u201cSpace\u201d, recognized as global domain, stands recognized as a war-fighting domain. Unheralded also is the recognition of \u201cSub Surfece Seas\u201d as a war-fighting domain and a global domain. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 As per data in public domain, there are over 1,886 active satellites in space. According to one recent report, a thousand small satellites were launched between 2012 and 2017 alone, 104 of them by a single Indian rocket. India has other critical assets in space; but what about their security? \u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 As per data available in June 2017, 42 Indian satellites are operational in orbit. Out of these 42 satellites, 15 satellites are used for communication, 4 for meteorological observations, 14 for earth observations, 7 for navigation and 2 for space science purposes. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 With the launch of \u201ceye in the sky\u201d Cartosat-2E satellite with surveillance capabilities in June 2017, the number of satellites being used by India for military purposes has gone up to 13.<\/b><\/p>\n

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\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Many countries have responded to this proliferation of space assets by developing anti-satellite weapons. Potential American adversaries have demonstrated their willingness to use such weapons.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0In 2007, China launched a missile that tracked and destroyed one of its own satellites\u2014 demonstration of growing capability to militarize space.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0Russia pinged a Japanese satellite with a laser in a 2009, in a non-damaging test of its capabilities. Russia is reportedly designing an airborne laser to disrupt space-based system and developing missiles that can be launched from an aircraft mid-flight to destroy American satellites.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Next, Russia has already flexed its \u201cCyber Superpower\u201d muscle. China\u2019s continued rise as \u201cCyber Superpower\u201d is also real and unstoppable<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Let me cite one example of cyber war. In 2016, Russian hackers affiliated with military and intelligence agencies hacked computers belonging to the Democratic Party, released stolen emails, and carried out a propaganda campaign to favor Trump\u2019s chances. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Also in 2017, Russian operatives unleashed the NotPetya ransom ware on the Ukrainian financial system, but the virulent worm spread around the world and caused billions of dollars in damage, shut down hospitals, and caused massive disruptions to global shipping and commerce.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 With the U.S., Russia and China transforming space into a war fighting domain already, where does India today stand to deter and dissuade others from using their capabilities, particularly China against our assets? Also extend their reach to conduct high decibel information war campaign to politically destabilize India internally.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 India also should be concerned about shared threats to mankind in space to include proliferation of space debris that can cause catastrophic damage to satellites\/ Space Stations. There are more than 29,000 known pieces of space junk larger than soft balls orbit the earth, along with another 750,000 larger than peas. Incidents such as China\u2019s anti-satellite missile test, which created more than 30,000 pieces of debris, 3,000 of which are mow tracked, have only made the problem worse. According to scientists, runaway debris accumulation, known as Kessler Syndrome, could render orbital space unusable if left unchecked.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 The effect of cosmic rays and coronal mass ejections among others that can damage satellites and disrupt terrestrial power grids must also be added to the list of challenges in space. The more earthbound systems depend on satellites, the greater the potential cost of such events. A Solar Storm of similar to magnitude to the Carrington Event, which wrecked havoc on telegraph systems across Europe and North America in 1859, could cause damages totaling in the trillions of dollars were it to occur today. Such an incident \u2013 scientists estimate a probability of up to 12% in the next decade \u2013 would cause a prolonged global crisis oblivious to national borders.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Recently, the U.S. has rolled out a new \u201cNational Cyber Strategy\u201d which includes the use offensive cyber-operations intended to penetrate foreign networks to deter hacks on U.S. systems. The new policy is aimed to \u201cdefend forward\u201d U.S. networks by disrupting \u201cmalicious cyber activity at its source.\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Where does India \u2013 so called software power – stand to ensure space security both \u201cSpace and cyber security\u201d? As usual far behind others as helpless bystander\/mute spectator!<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Yet another significant technology breakthrough is Artificial intelligence (AI) Intelligence\u201d viewed as a game changer in the way of conduct of human affairs in all fields in times ahead. AI\u2019s disruption presents a clear challenge. \u201cRemote Control Wars\u201d are already in vogue. And, China\u2019s AI rise to superpower status is also real. <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 In the decades ahead, AI could transform warfare, creating disruptive new capabilities and changing the ways that militaries command, train, and deploy their forces. Those changes will shape the military balance among the world\u2019s great powers.\u00a0 <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 What are the education policies formulated to enable the growth of AI in step with other nations in the field. Has the current political hierarchy recognized and charted the path to traverse to keep pace with other nations? Hardly there is any informed debate on AI even in the media. Yet another missed opportunity which will result in technology lag on past lines.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0Next, \u201cTrade War\u201d between U.S. and China is the latest to breakout with chaotic and unpredictable outcomes. As per experts, neither country can avoid economically bruised in the trade war. Economists have also warned that the real fallout of the US-China trade war threatens to unsettle the global economy if the dangerous game of tit-for-tat persists. Add to it, the ongoing trade war spat between the U.S., Russia, Iran, NAFTA, EU and others.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Meanwhile, the U.S. has imposed sanctions on Iran resulting in likely soaring of oil prices upwards to $100 per barrel with adverse fallout on economies of developing and under developed world struggling to maintain economic stability. Cumulatively, in the first four months of the current fiscal (2018-19), India\u2019s import of Iranian crude rose 44 per cent to 11.24 MT. Indian economy depending on more than 80% oil imports would be hurt adversely.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0In sum, caught up in the vortex of vicious politics, hardly there is focus on such key issues either in the Parliament or in the media. Thus, preparedness to face numerous challenges arising out of various forms of warfare and seizing opportunities appear to be woeful. And, the talk of India as a emerging global power is a bogey.<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Why apportion blame on either political leaders or the media alone? <\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 In retrospect, the blame squarely rests on the scientific community for utter failure to raise to the occasion and the PSU behemoths. Why are they not being exposed for their shortcomings despite allocating vast sums of tax-payers money? Surely, they should not be allowed to get away with their stock replies like \u201csanctions\u201d regime stalling their design and development.\u00a0<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Many Faces of Warfare \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 ( taken from an e mail , author\u00a0Brig. G.B.Reddy\u00a0) \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0… more »<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10323,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-2","category-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10321","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10321"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10321\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10332,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10321\/revisions\/10332"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/patriotsforumindia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}