Russian Defeat In Ukraine Has Pushed Back The New World Order By 20 years ; Europe and Ukraine Lose Too !
Rajiv Upadhyay 
It is now clear that the Ukraine war is not a war between Russia and Ukraine but between NATO and Russia using Ukraine only as a proxy . Ukraine quest to join NATO and place missiles at Russian borders was unjust and un warranted . CIS nations could not go against Russia to the extent of threatening its security.
From fighting a fruitless suicidal war it appears that Zelensky was possibly a CIA/Mossad agent who has done a great damage to Ukraine and Europe. Whether west will donate say $ 200 billion for reconstruction of Ukraine is doubtful . European nation’s economies are in very bad state . EU and UK both have been weakened by BREXIT . Economies of Italy , Spain , Portugal are in tatters . Ukraine war has fuelled inflation thus igniting a time bomb of discontent .Europe has paid an unnecessary price by becoming a side kick of USA but it has no choice now with China threatening to become another USSR . But what will Ukraine gain ? It will be dumped like Philippines , Pakistan , Afghanistan, South Vietnam, after the war .It unnecessarily provoked Russia . Even Europe unnecessarily joined USA in provoking Russia by allowing Ukraine NATO membership to be included surreptitiously in EU minutes . Europe has gained nothing nor it is safer than before . Russia has learnt weakness of its armaments and will spring back as it is a very proud nation capable of making great sacrifices. Like Ukraine , Europe has lost a lot and USA is in no position to give any new Marshal plan to Europe .
While at first Russia showed western powers, uselessness of their sanctions but the entire NATO joined to supply Ukraine ultra modern weapons thus tying Russia down to an unwinnable war like Afghanistan . If Afghanistan settled scores of Vietnam , Ukraine war has settled scores of Syria where Russia checkmated US advances . But in the long run Russia will be a loser too . Its economy is not big enough to take on NATO . China and India are not reliable allies as they cannot withstand sustained western pressure due to their fragile economies . China under Xi became over ambitious . Putin had big dreams and BRICS type initiatives could have succeeded if Xi Jin Ping had not become overambitious with nine dash line and created enemies all around . AUKUS and extended Nato will effectively checkmate China . Attack on India or Taiwan will be suicidal . Iran should just bid its time and avoid nuclear weapons . Nuclear weapons will only make it a North Korea and sound its death knell. It should wait for better times but keep its powder dry.
Now also, if Russia can come out of war with Donbas and Non Nato assurance from Ukraine it should do it with alacrity before winter sets in in Europe . Gas card cannot be over played . A timely retreat to regain breath is not a bad option . USA will not allow Ukraine to let Russia off the hook. Europe has to play an active role in its own interest .
Similarly China should mend its fences with India by not only going back to 1962 positions on LAC but also making suitable amends for its breach of trust with PM Modi who had invested so much in friendship with Xi. India should just focus on economic development and must avoid getting into any war with either Pakistan or China or any proxy war outside . Any power projection with out economic might is suicidal . We have the Sri Lankan experience and should not be misled like Saddam .USA will break India after China as any big country is a threat to US hegemony .It may use Pakistan ISI to stage another Mumbai to provoke a war . Its plans to balkanize India by separating north , north east and south into three countries is possibly ready . We have enough Mir Zafars even today waiting for full powers over Hindustan . Keeping a working relation with Pakistan and keeping the entire population united is important for us .USA is militarily prepared for even an India , China , Russia , Iran alliance . India cannot win in any combination except by just staying out of conflicts . We have been punching above our weight for too long and a repeat of 1962 will put us back by thirty years .
U.S. President Donald Trump, first lady Melania Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrive for a “Namaste Trump” event during Trump’s visit to India, at Sardar Patel Gujarat Stadium, in Ahmedabad, India, February 24, 2020. REUTERS/Al Drago – RC2X6F9LWB5U
But who has ultimately gained out of all this ?
Only USA !
With Russian defeat in Ukraine , it has extended its hegemony over the world by 20 years . The second gainer could be Taiwan because China will not attack Taiwan now . A China ,Russia Iran axis does not worry USA anymore . OPEC and OIC is already divided .USA will now settle Iran now without Russian fear of Syria like Support . Sanctions have reduced Iran’s capabilities to survive even a short direct war .
What about the third world ?
Much to the third world relief , Russian action in Syria had checkmated the highly irregular ‘regime change ‘movement of USA . China made a blunder by exposing its expansionist agenda too soon . Like Russia , it is vulnerable to western sanctions . Its military might cannot match NATO .
So really the developing world must step back , regroup and reunite as it has no power to shape events at present . Unity is the only safe guard at present for the developing world from the creeping neo colonialism . Putin’s Alexender Dugin is not a match to Dr. Kissinger’s petro dollars and Huntington ‘clash of civilisations ‘so far.
It is time to go back to drawing boards for a more just world order.
