5:32 pm - Thursday November 23, 4834

Do you feel India is overrated? – Some Quora Answers क्या भारत को चीन के बराबर आने मैं नब्बे साल लगेंगे

Do you feel India is overrated?

Some pundits line and visualize India as an ‘upcoming superpower’ with enormous potential, being a ‘model democracy’. Do you honestly feel this is true, a nation immensely poor, corrupt and can hardly be considered a ‘model democracy’. Do you feel this is a ploy?

Ben Kelley

Ben Kelley, University based, Australian with wide and varied interests.

India is a developing global power.

However, unlike China, India will most likely develop at a slower rate over a longer period of time. While China saw a massive increase in its wealth, a quick maturity of its economy and a huge improvement in quality of life for all Chinese, India will take many more decades.

So one could read or feel from the current situation that China is and always will be the next big thing. However, China is now at the point where its growing, but not growing as fast as it used to. That is normal, and a sign of a maturing economy.

So India has a lot more room to grow and will most likely start to pick up pace. However, if we are looking at the long term, its extremely likely that India will not only at one point overtake China’s economy, it may end up being much larger.

So in 2100, India is likely to be ~1.5 Billion people and China ~ 1 Billion. If India can reach similar levels of industrialization, education, wealth that China has by 2100, then its economy will be 50% larger than China’s.

But for a large number of reasons India is not developing as fast as China did. China was blink and you would miss it. India is slower than watching grass grow.

India saw very massive jumps in the early 80’s, but since then its been a bit disappointing how slow its development is. While China tried to do it as quickly as possible, with very explicit government control and planning , India is a much more laissez-faire. Its not clear if India could adopt some (or any) aspects like the Chinese planned development, where there was a real effort to facilitate speed and the trajectory of the rise.

Peoples expectations are created by the examples around them. China is the example of a developing nation becoming a global power economically, culturally, politically, military, etc. India is not China. They are two very different cultures. I think India will reach a simular level of development eventually, but it may take ~80 years to equal out.

At which point India will be the most populous nation on earth, with possibly by far the largest economy.

Remember one thing, if India becomes able to sort out following issues properly, no doubt in long run of four decades—she would be super-power. Those are:

  • Corruption
  • Police reforms for better crime control system
  • Poverty
  • Tech education
  • Last but not least, sincere friendship with Pakistan. Defense budget eats too much because of Pak-China factor. Trade doesn’t expand swiftly and cheaply to Afghanistan, Central Asia, Iran and others because Pakistan is the hindrance. Naxals kill soldiers, Kashmir wants independence, Sikkim and Arunachal are vulnerable—because of Pak-China factor. Sit on table, properly negotiate issues and win allies and expand trade, foreign relations.

That’s it!

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