America Supported US- China- G 2 Axis : Implications And Options For Europe ,India , Japan , ASEAN & Africa
Rajiv Upadhyay 
US seems to have realised that its control on world is slipping as its economy is not matching the needs of supporting a unipolar world .Trump has recently mentioned G-2 of USA and China at APEC Summit in Busan in Korea . It was a dream come true for China but it leaves every one else in cold tatters.
It is more like The Sykes-Picot Agreement between Britain and France of 1916 dividing the Ottoman empire between them with Russia getting some crumbs.
America does not see India as partner in this game and wants the Europe and OECD countries in its area of control leaving China in charge of Asia and Africa . It has started encircling India by staging a revolt in Bangladesh , Nepal , Sri Lanka and Maldives. It has tied up with nuclear Pakistan to control India and middle East to some extent . A divided Europe will remain a lackey of America and Demilitarised Japan and Korea will remain its principle allies in Asia . China will possibly be allowed to annex Taiwan in Hong Kong like fashion as a bait . Russia may be given some crumbs as in 1916. BRICS will be destroyed from with in by China as payment for Taiwan.
This arrangement does not suit the rest of the world . Russia ,India , Japan , Korea , ASEAN and Africa will certainly prefer a multi polar world . Europe will like a more say in global affairs but it is a weak union of 26 countries stretched to limits by Ukraine by EU’s surrender to America many years back when NATO agreed to extend its frontiers to Russian borders in violation of the understanding with Gorbachev. BREXIT has weakened it needs to be undone but Britain will remain a trojan horse. EU must give member states greater autonomy in political matters like immigration control, defence etc. .To become relevant it needs a Bismark again and make its economy free from over dependence on American and China. Hyper nationalism of Germany, Italy, Spain and France will be a poison .
Russian dream of reviving USSR or Turkey’s dream of reviving Caliphate are out of time . They have to come out of their dreams and save and work for a multipolar world with no hegemon.
India has to first quickly become not only self reliant but a global power in defence . Also it must catch up with China by developing adequate deterrence in spite of Pakistan . Defence procurement budget needs to be doubled right now and needs to be tripled in the next decade. Developing some existential threat to China is essential but Taiwan is too weak . Russia is dependent on China . Bangladesh , Sri Lanka , Maldives and Nepal needs to be brought back in Indian orbit . But USA will have greater control on them as at present . Also ultimately the economy is the strength of the nation . Indian economy is still very fragile and weak and our growth rate is inadequate . We need to discard the fear driven control freakness as it deters innovative thinking and promotes self destructive sycophancy.
India can be a magnet for all countries wanting to make a truly multipolar world . Like in Nehru era. we need a very active foreign policy for shaping a new NAM but without losing focus on developing our defence and growth. To begin with a working group of experts and scholars needs to be brought together from G 20 countries in a permanent office in New Delhi to identify the path to prevent G-2 and set up a multi polar world even with active resistance from USA and China .America will hit at our weak political weak spots like religion , caste, language , regionalism etc . We need to take States with us along with opposition .
Africa and ASEAN will want a multipolar world but are not in a position to decide or control either China or USA.
America is still too powerful and cannot be defeated by any one at present. Its politics needs to be channelised to oppose G – 2 by retaining MAGA as a American core dream . But its deep state is too powerful and pragmatic . It really runs USA .
It is a tough task even for best of brains . Can we produce a Chanakya again ?
